EXHIBIT 99.1 MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Published on August 14, 2006
Exhibit
99.1
ITEM
7. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION
AND
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
As
disclosed in its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended March 31,
2006, Southwest adopted Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS)
No.
123R, "Share-Based Payment" (SFAS 123R) effective January 1, 2006, using the
modified retrospective transition method. SFAS 123R requires that all
stock-based compensation, including grants of employee stock options, be
accounted for using a fair-value-based method. Under the modified retrospective
method, prior years' results were retrospectively adjusted to give effect to
the
value of options granted in fiscal years beginning on or after January 1, 1995.
In
addition, in
first
quarter 2006, the Company began transitioning the maintenance program for
performing planned airframe maintenance on its fleet of 737-300 and 737-500
aircraft. Due to the change in the nature of the maintenance activities
performed, the Company changed its method of accounting for scheduled airframe
and inspection repairs for 737-300 and 737-500 aircraft from the deferral method
to the direct expense method, effective January 1, 2006. The Company recorded
the change in accounting in accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting
Standards No. 154, Accounting
Changes and Error Corrections (SFAS
154), which was effective for calendar year companies on January 1, 2006. SFAS
154 requires that all elective accounting changes be made on a retrospective
basis.
A
summary
of the changes in the Company's financial statements as a result of adopting
SFAS No. 123(R) and changing its method of accounting for airframe maintenance
is provided in Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. This MD&A
has been updated to reflect the Company's results adjusted to conform to the
adoption of SFAS No. 123(R) and the change in airframe maintenance accounting.
As part of this update, the Company has deleted the majority of forward-looking
statements made in its original Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2005. For current
forward-looking statements related to the Company’s business, along with more
current information on trends and other factors affecting our business, refer
to
the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2006.
YEAR
IN REVIEW
In
2005,
Southwest posted a profit for its 33rd
consecutive year, and also extended its number of consecutive profitable
quarters to 59. Southwest’s 2005 profit was $484 million, representing a 125.1%
increase compared to our 2004 profit of $215 million. This performance was
driven primarily by strong revenue growth, as the Company grew capacity, and
effective cost control measures, including a successful fuel hedge program.
For
the fifth consecutive year, the airline industry as a whole is expected to
suffer a substantial net loss, as additional carriers filed for bankruptcy
protection and many underwent or continued massive efforts to restructure or
merge their businesses, gain wage concessions from their employees, and slash
costs.
The
revenue environment in the airline industry strengthened considerably throughout
2005. As a result of the extensive restructuring in the domestic airline
industry in 2004 and 2005, several carriers reduced domestic capacity. Industry
capacity reductions and strong demand resulted in high load factors for many
airlines. In fact, Southwest set new monthly load-factor records for four
separate months during 2005, and recorded a Company-record load factor of 70.7
percent for the full year. The Company was also able to modestly raise its
fares
over the course of the year, resulting in an increase in passenger revenue
yield
per RPM (passenger revenues divided by revenue passenger miles) of 2.8 percent
compared to 2004. Unit revenue (total revenue divided by ASMs) also increased
a
healthy 4.7 percent compared to 2004 levels, as a result of the higher load
factors and higher RPM yields.
The
Company once again benefited from a strong fuel hedge and an intense focus
on
controlling non-fuel costs. As reflected in the Consolidated Statement of
Income, the Company’s fuel hedging program resulted in a reduction to “Fuel and
oil expense” during 2005 of $892 million. The Company’s hedge program also
resulted in earnings variability throughout 2005, primarily due to unrealized
gains and losses relating to fuel contracts settling in future periods, recorded
in accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting Standard 133 (SFAS 133),
Accounting
for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities,
as
amended. For 2005, these amounts total a net gain of $110 million, and are
reflected in “Other (gains) losses, net,” in the Consolidated Statement of
Income.
Although
the Company’s fuel hedge in place for 2006 is not as strong as that in 2005,
absent a significant decrease from the current level of market energy prices
the
Company will continue to have a considerable competitive advantage compared
to
airlines that have not hedged fuel. The Company hopes to overcome the impact
of
higher anticipated 2006 fuel prices through improved revenue management and
control of non-fuel costs. In 2005, the Company benefited from cost-control
efforts instituted over the past 3 years. These efforts, combined with unit
cost
reductions in share-based compensation expense and maintenance materials and
repairs, resulted in a reduction in non-fuel unit costs (cost per ASM) of 2.8
percent in 2005 compared to 2004. The Company’s Employees again increased their
productivity and improved the overall efficiency of the Company’s operations.
The Company’s headcount per aircraft decreased from 74 at December 31, 2004, to
71 at December 31, 2005. Furthermore, from the end of 2003 to the end of 2005,
the Company’s headcount per aircraft decreased 16.5 percent.
The
Company moves forward into 2006 with a focused and measured growth plan. The
Company’s low-cost competitive advantage, protective fuel hedging position, and
excellent Employees will allow Southwest to continue to react quickly to market
opportunities. The Company added Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, and Fort Myers,
Florida, to its route system in 2005, and continued to grow its Chicago Midway
service. The Company has increased its capacity at Chicago Midway Airport nearly
60 percent since third quarter 2004 and plans to continue to add service to
this
market. The Company began service to Denver, Colorado, in January 2006, and
has
already announced plans to add service and destinations in 2006. Denver
represents the 62nd
city to
which the Company flies.
In
December 2005, we completed a transaction with ATA Airlines,
Inc. (ATA), as a part of ATA’s bankruptcy proceedings, acquiring the leasehold
rights to four additional gates at Chicago Midway in exchange for a $20 million
reduction in our outstanding debtor-in-possession loan. The codeshare agreement
with ATA was recently expanded to include ATA flights from DFW International
Airport to Chicago Midway. The Company also recently announced an additional
codeshare expansion to include connecting service through Houston Hobby and
Oakland, beginning April 2006. See Note
2 to
the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information on the Company’s
relationship and recent transactions with ATA.
During
2005, the Company added 33 new 737-700 aircraft to its fleet and retired its
remaining five 737-200 aircraft, resulting in a net available seat mile (ASM)
capacity increase of 10.8 percent. This brought the Company’s all-737 fleet to
445 aircraft at the end of 2005. ASM capacity currently is expected to grow
approximately 8 percent in 2006 with the planned addition of 33 new Boeing
737-700 aircraft.
RESULTS
OF OPERATIONS
2005
COMPARED WITH 2004 The
Company's consolidated net income for 2005 was $484 million ($.60 per share,
diluted), as compared to 2004 net income of $215 million ($.27 per share,
diluted), an increase of $269 million or 125.1 percent. Operating income for
2005 was $725 million, an increase of $321 million, or 79.5 percent, compared
to
2004. The increase in operating income primarily was due to higher revenues
from
the Company’s fleet growth, improved load factors, and higher fares, which more
than offset a significant increase in the cost of jet fuel. The larger
percentage increase in net income compared to operating income primarily was
due
to variability in Other (gains) losses, net, due to unrealized 2005 gains
resulting from the Company’s fuel hedging activities, in accordance with SFAS
133.
OPERATING
REVENUES Consolidated
operating revenues increased $1.1 billion, or 16.1 percent, primarily due to
a
$1.0 billion, or 15.9 percent, increase in passenger revenues. The increase
in
passenger revenues primarily was due to an increase in capacity, an increase
in
RPM yield, and an increase in load factor. Holding other factors constant (such
as yields and load factor), almost 70 percent of the increase in passenger
revenue was due to the Company’s 10.8 percent increase in available seat miles
compared to 2004. The Company increased available seat miles as a result of
the
net addition of 28 aircraft (33 new 737-700 aircraft net of five 737-200
aircraft retirements). Approximately 18 percent of the increase in passenger
revenue was due to the 2.8 percent increase in passenger yields. Average
passenger fares increased 5.8 percent compared to 2004, primarily due to lower
fare discounting because of the strong demand for air travel coupled with the
availability of fewer seats from industrywide domestic capacity reductions.
The
remainder of the passenger revenue increase primarily was due to the 1.2 point
increase in the Company’s load factor compared to 2004. The 70.7 percent load
factor for 2005 represented the highest annual load factor in the Company’s
history.
The
Company continues to be encouraged by the airline revenue environment. Although
the Company significantly downsized its New Orleans operations following
Hurricane Katrina during third quarter 2005, some of those flights have been
added back as demand has increased to that city. In addition, because of strong
industry demand, the Company was able to quickly re-deploy available aircraft
from the New Orleans reduction in service to meet service needs in other cities
within the Company’s network. The outlook for first quarter 2006 is favorable as
the Company continues to enjoy strong revenue momentum and benefit from
reductions in competitive capacity.
Consolidated
freight revenues increased $16 million, or 13.7 percent. Approximately 65
percent of the increase was due to an increase in freight and cargo revenues,
primarily due to higher rates charged on shipments. The remaining 35 percent
of
the increase was due to higher mail revenues. The U.S. Postal Service
periodically reallocates the amount of mail business given to commercial and
freight air carriers and, during 2005, shifted more business to commercial
carriers. Other revenues increased $39 million, or 29.3 percent, compared to
2004. Approximately 35 percent of the increase was
from
commissions earned from programs the Company sponsors with certain business
partners, such as the Company sponsored Chase®
Visa
card. An additional 35 percent of the increase was due to an increase in excess
baggage charges, as the Company modified its fee policy related to the weight
of
checked baggage during second quarter 2005. Among other changes, the limit
at
which baggage charges apply was reduced to 50 pounds per checked bag.
OPERATING
EXPENSES Consolidated
operating expenses for 2005 increased $733 million, or 12.0 percent, compared
to
the 10.8 percent increase in capacity. To a large extent, changes in operating
expenses for airlines are driven by changes in capacity, or ASMs. The following
presents Southwest’s operating expenses per ASM for 2005 and 2004 followed by
explanations of these changes on a per-ASM basis:
|
|
|
|
|
Increase
|
|
Percent
|
||||
|
2005
|
|
2004
|
|
(decrease)
|
|
change
|
||||
Salaries,
wages, and benefits
|
3.27
|
¢
|
3.35
|
¢
|
(.08
|
¢
|
(2.4
|
)%
|
|||
Fuel
and oil
|
1.58
|
1.30
|
.28
|
21.5
|
|||||||
Maintenance
materials and repairs
|
.52
|
.61
|
(.09
|
(14.8
|
)
|
||||||
Aircraft
rentals
|
.19
|
.23
|
(.04
|
(17.4
|
)
|
||||||
Landing
fees and other rentals
|
.53
|
.53
|
-
|
-
|
|||||||
Depreciation
and amortization
|
.55
|
.56
|
(.01
|
(1.8
|
)
|
||||||
Other
|
1.41
|
1.39
|
.02
|
1.4
|
|||||||
Total
|
8.05
|
¢
|
7.97
|
¢
|
.08
|
¢
|
1.0
|
%
|
Operating
expenses per ASM increased 1.0 percent to 8.05 cents, primarily due to an
increase in jet fuel prices, net of hedging gains. The Company was able to
hold
flat or reduce unit costs in every cost category, except fuel expense and other
operating expense, through a variety of cost reduction and productivity efforts.
These efforts, however, were entirely offset by the significant increase in
the
cost of fuel. Excluding fuel, CASM was 2.8 percent lower than 2004, at 6.48
cents.
Salaries,
wages, and benefits expense per ASM decreased 2.4 percent compared to 2004,
primarily due to a reduction in share-based compensation expense, the majority
of which is due to stock-options granted by the Company. As a result of the
timing of grants in prior years and their related vesting provisions,
share-based compensation expense decreased from $135 million in 2004 to $80
million in 2005. Excluding the impact of share-based compensation expense,
salaries, wages, and benefits decreased slightly due to productivity
efforts that have enabled the Company to grow overall headcount at a rate that
is less than the growth in ASMs. This decrease was partially offset by higher
average wage rates, and higher profitsharing expense associated with the
Company’s higher earnings.
The
Company’s Pilots are subject to an agreement with the Southwest Airlines Pilots’
Association, which becomes amendable during September 2006. The Company’s
Customer Service and Reservations Agents are subject to an agreement with the
International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers (“IAM”), which
becomes amendable during November 2008, but which may become amendable during
2006 at the IAM’s option, under certain conditions. The Company’s Ramp,
Operations, and Provisioning and Freight Agents are subject to an agreement
with
the Transportation Workers of America, AFL-CIO (“TWU”), which becomes amendable
during November 2008, but which may become amendable during 2006 at the TWU’s
option, under certain conditions. The Company is currently unable to predict
whether its contracts with the IAM and TWU will become amendable during
2006.
Fuel
and
oil expense per ASM increased 21.5 percent, primarily due to a 24.8 percent
increase in the average jet fuel cost per gallon, net of hedging gains. The
average cost per gallon of jet fuel in 2005 was $1.03 compared to 82.8 cents
in
2004, excluding fuel-related taxes and net of hedging gains. The Company's
2005
and 2004 average jet fuel costs are net of approximately $892 million and $455
million in gains from hedging activities, respectively.
See Note
9 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. The increase in fuel prices was
partially offset by steps the Company has taken to improve the fuel efficiency
of its aircraft. These steps primarily included the addition of blended winglets
to all of the Company’s 737-700 aircraft, and the upgrade of certain engine
components on many aircraft. The Company estimates that these and other
efficiency gains saved the Company approximately $70 million during 2005, at
average unhedged market jet fuel prices.
Maintenance
materials and repairs per ASM decreased 14.8 percent compared to 2004,
primarily
due to a decrease in repair events for aircraft engines.
Aircraft
rentals per ASM decreased 17.4 percent. Of the 33
aircraft the Company acquired during 2005, all are owned. In addition, during
2005, the Company renegotiated the leases on four aircraft, and, as a result,
reclassified these aircraft from operating leases to capital leases. These
transactions have increased the Company’s percentage of aircraft owned or on
capital lease to 81 percent at December 31, 2005, from 79 percent at December
31, 2004.
Depreciation
expense per ASM decreased 1.8 percent. An increase in depreciation expense
per
ASM from 33 new 737-700 aircraft purchased during 2005 and the higher percentage
of owned aircraft, was more than offset by lower expense associated with the
Company’s retirement of its 737-200 fleet and all 737-200 remaining spare parts
by the end of January 2005.
Other
operating expenses per ASM increased 1.4 percent compared to 2004. Approximately
75 percent of the increase relates to higher 2005 security fees in the form
of a
$24 million retroactive assessment the Company received from the Transportation
Security Administration in January 2006. The Company intends to vigorously
contest this assessment; however, if it is unsuccessful in reversing or
modifying it, 2006 security fees will be at similar levels. The remainder of
the
increase primarily related to higher fuel taxes as a result of the substantial
increase in fuel prices compared to 2004.
OTHER “Other
expenses (income)” included interest expense, capitalized interest, interest
income, and other gains and losses. Interest expense increased
by $34 million, or 38.6 percent, primarily due to an increase in floating
interest rates.
The
majority of the Company’s long-term debt is at floating rates. Excluding the
effect of any new debt offerings the Company may execute during 2006, the
Company expects an increase in interest expense compared to 2005, due to higher
expected floating interest rates, partially offset by the borrowings due to
be
repaid in 2006 on their redemption dates. See Note 9 to the Consolidated
Financial Statements for more information. Capitalized
interest was flat compared to 2004 as lower 2005 progress payment balances
for
scheduled future aircraft deliveries were offset by higher interest rates.
Interest income increased $26 million, or 123.8 percent, primarily due to an
increase in rates earned on cash and investments. “Other (gains) losses, net”
primarily includes amounts recorded in accordance with SFAS 133. See
Note 9
to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on the Company’s
hedging activities.
During
2005, the Company recognized approximately $35 million of expense related to
amounts excluded from the Company's measurements of hedge effectiveness. Also
during 2005, the
Company recognized approximately $110 million of additional income in "Other
(gains) losses, net," related to the ineffectiveness of its hedges and the
loss
of hedge accounting for certain hedges. Of this additional income, approximately
$77 million was unrealized, mark-to-market changes in the fair value of
derivatives due to the discontinuation of hedge accounting for certain contracts
that will settle in future periods, approximately $9 million was unrealized
ineffectiveness associated with hedges designated for future periods, and $24
million was ineffectiveness and mark-to-market gains related to contracts that
settled during 2005.
For
2004, the Company recognized approximately $24 million of expense related to
amounts excluded from the Company's measurements of hedge effectiveness and
$13
million in expense related to the ineffectiveness of its hedges and unrealized
mark-to-market changes in the fair value of certain derivative contracts.
INCOME
TAXES The
provision for income taxes, as a percentage of income before taxes, increased
to
37.88 percent in 2005 from 36.54 percent in 2004. The 2004 rate was favorably
impacted by an adjustment related to the ultimate resolution of an airline
industry-wide issue regarding the tax treatment of certain aircraft engine
maintenance costs,
and
lower state income taxes.
The
adoption of SFAS 123R will make it more difficult to forecast future effective
income tax rates due to the difference in treatment of certain types of stock
options for tax purposes. See Note 12 to the Consolidated Financial Statements
for further information.
2004
COMPARED WITH 2003 The
Company's consolidated net income for 2004 was $215 million ($.27 per share,
diluted), as compared to 2003 net income of $372 million ($.46 per share,
diluted), a decrease of $157 million or 42.2 percent. Operating income for
2004
was $404 million, an increase of $26 million, or 6.9 percent compared to 2003.
As
disclosed in Note 16 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, results for
2003
included $271 million as “Other gains” from the Emergency Wartime Supplemental
Appropriations Act (Wartime Act). The Company believes that excluding the impact
of this special item enhances comparative analysis of results. The grant was
made to stabilize and support the airline industry as a result of the 2003
war
with Iraq. Financial results including the grant were not indicative of the
Company’s operating performance for 2003, nor should they be considered in
developing trend analysis for future periods. There were no special items in
2004. The following table reconciles and compares results reported in accordance
with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) for 2004 and 2003 with
results excluding the impact of the government grant received in 2003:
(in
millions, except per share and per ASM amounts)
|
2004
|
2003
|
|||||
Operating
expenses, as reported
|
$
|
6,126
|
$
|
5,559
|
|||
Profitsharing
impact of government grant
|
-
|
(40
|
)
|
||||
Operating
expenses, excluding grant impact
|
$
|
6,126
|
$
|
5,519
|
|||
Operating
expenses per ASM, as reported
|
$
|
.0797
|
$
|
.0774
|
|||
Profitsharing
impact of government grant
|
-
|
(.0006
|
)
|
||||
Operating
expenses per ASM, excluding grant impact
|
$
|
.0797
|
$
|
.0768
|
|||
Operating
income, as reported
|
$
|
404
|
$
|
378
|
|||
Profitsharing
impact of government grant
|
-
|
40
|
|||||
Operating
income, excluding impact of government grants
|
$
|
404
|
$
|
418
|
|||
Net
income, as reported
|
$
|
215
|
$
|
372
|
|||
Government
grant, net of income taxes and profitsharing
|
-
|
(144
|
)
|
||||
Net
income, excluding government grants
|
$
|
215
|
$
|
228
|
|||
Net
income per share, diluted, as reported
|
$
|
.27
|
$
|
.46
|
|||
Government
grant, net of income taxes and profitsharing
|
-
|
(.18
|
)
|
||||
Net
income per share, diluted, excluding government grants
|
$
|
.27
|
$
|
.28
|
Excluding
the government grant received, consolidated net income for 2004 decreased $13
million, or 5.7 percent, compared to 2003 net income of $228 million. The
decrease primarily was due to higher share-based compensation expense, partially
offset by higher revenues from the Company’s fleet growth and addition of
capacity. Excluding the impact of the 2003 government grant, 2004 operating
income decreased $14 million, or 3.3 percent, compared to 2003.
OPERATING
REVENUES Consolidated
operating revenues increased $593 million, or 10.0 percent, primarily due to
a
$539 million, or 9.4 percent, increase in passenger revenues. The increase
in
passenger revenues primarily was due to an 11.4 percent increase in RPMs flown,
driven by the Company’s growth and a 2.7 point increase in the Company’s load
factor compared to 2003.
The
Company increased ASMs by 7.1 percent compared to 2003, primarily as a result
of
the net addition of 29 aircraft during 2004 (47 new aircraft, net of 18 aircraft
retirements). The Company's load factor for 2004 (RPMs divided by ASMs) was
69.5
percent, compared to 66.8 percent for 2003. Although this represented a strong
load factor performance for the Company, passenger yields for 2004 (passenger
revenue divided by RPMs) remained under considerable pressure due to significant
capacity increases by a large majority of carriers. Passenger yields for 2004
declined to $.1176, compared to $.1197 in 2003, a decrease of 1.8 percent,
because of heavy fare discounting arising as a result of the glut in industry
seats available.
Consolidated
freight revenues increased $23 million, or 24.5 percent. Approximately 70
percent of the increase was due to an increase in freight and cargo revenues,
primarily due to more units shipped. The remaining 30 percent of the increase
was due to higher mail revenues, as the U.S. Postal Service shifted more
business to commercial carriers. Other revenues increased $31 million, or 30.4
percent, primarily due to an increase in commissions earned from programs the
Company sponsors with certain business partners, such as the Company-sponsored
Chase® Visa card.
OPERATING
EXPENSES Consolidated
operating expenses for 2004 increased $567 million, or 10.2 percent, compared
to
the 7.1 percent increase in capacity. To a large extent, changes in operating
expenses for airlines are driven by changes in capacity, or ASMs. The following
presents Southwest’s operating expenses per ASM for 2004 and 2003 followed by
explanations of these changes on a per-ASM basis:
|
|
|
|
Increase
|
|
Percent
|
|||||
|
2004
|
2003
|
|
(decrease)
|
|
change
|
|||||
Salaries,
wages, and benefits
|
3.35
|
¢
|
3.25
|
¢
|
.10
|
¢
|
3.1
|
%
|
|||
Fuel
and oil
|
1.30
|
1.16
|
.14
|
12.1
|
|||||||
Maintenance
materials and repairs
|
.61
|
.60
|
.01
|
1.7
|
|||||||
Aircraft
rentals
|
.23
|
.25
|
(.02
|
(8.0
|
)
|
||||||
Landing
fees and other rentals
|
.53
|
.52
|
.01
|
1.9
|
|||||||
Depreciation
and amortization
|
.56
|
.53
|
.03
|
5.7
|
|||||||
Other
|
1.39
|
1.43
|
(.04
|
(2.8
|
)
|
||||||
Total
|
7.97
|
¢
|
7.74
|
¢
|
.23
|
¢
|
3.0
|
%
|
Operating
expenses per ASM increased 3.0 percent to $.0797, primarily due to an increase
in jet fuel prices, net of hedging gains, and an increase in salaries, wages,
and benefits. These increases were partially offset by the Company’s elimination
of commissions paid to travel agents, which was effective December 15, 2003.
Salaries,
wages, and benefits expense per ASM increased 3.1 percent, inclusive
of $40 million in additional expense from the profitsharing impact of the 2003
government grant. Excluding
the profitsharing impact of the 2003 government grant, approximately 60 percent
of the increase per ASM was due to higher salaries expense, primarily from
higher average wage rates, and 20 percent was due to higher benefits costs,
primarily health care and workers’ compensation.
During
second quarter 2004, the Company and the Transport Workers Union Local 556
reached a tentative labor agreement for the Company’s Flight Attendants, which
included both pay increases and the issuance of stock options. During July
2004,
a majority of the Company’s Flight Attendants ratified the labor agreement,
which is for the period from June 1, 2002, to May 31, 2008.
During
third quarter 2004, the Company and the Aircraft Mechanics Fraternal
Association, representing the Company’s Mechanics, agreed to extend the date the
current agreement becomes amendable to August 2008. The extension included
both
pay raises and the issuance of stock options, and was ratified by a majority
of
the Company’s Mechanics.
During
third quarter 2004, the Company and the International Brotherhood of Teamsters,
representing the Company’s Flight Simulator Technicians, agreed to extend the
date the current agreement becomes amendable to November 2011. The extension
included both pay raises and the issuance of stock options, and was ratified
by
a majority of the Company’s Simulator Technicians.
Fuel
and
oil expense per ASM increased 12.1 percent, primarily due to a 14.5 percent
increase in the average jet fuel cost per gallon, net of hedging gains. The
average cost per gallon of jet fuel in 2004 was 82.8 cents compared to 72.3
cents in 2003, excluding fuel-related taxes but including the effects of hedging
activities. The Company's 2004 and 2003 average jet fuel costs are net of
approximately $455 million and $171 million in gains from hedging activities,
respectively.
See Note
9 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. The increase in fuel prices was
partially offset by steps the Company took to improve the fuel efficiency of
its
aircraft. These steps primarily included the addition of blended winglets to
177
of the Company’s 737-700 aircraft as of December 31, 2004, and the upgrade of
certain engine components on many aircraft. The Company estimates that these
and
other efficiency gains saved the Company approximately $28 million in 2004,
at
average unhedged market jet fuel prices.
Aircraft
rentals per ASM and depreciation
and amortization expense per ASM were both impacted by a
higher
percentage of the aircraft fleet being owned.
Aircraft
rentals per ASM decreased 8.0 percent while depreciation
and amortization expense per ASM increased 5.7 percent.
Of the
47
aircraft the Company acquired during 2004, 46 are owned and one is on operating
lease. This, along with the retirement of 16 owned and two leased aircraft,
increased the Company’s percentage of aircraft owned or on capital lease to 79
percent at December 31, 2004, from 77 percent at December 31, 2003.
Landing
fees and other rentals per ASM increased 1.9 percent primarily
due to the Company’s expansion of gate and counter space at several airports
across our system.
Other
operating expenses per ASM decreased 2.8 percent compared to 2003 primarily
due
to the elimination of commissions paid to travel agents, effective December
15,
2003. In addition to this change, an increase in expense from higher fuel taxes
as a result of the substantial increase in fuel prices was mostly offset by
lower advertising expense.
OTHER “Other
expenses (income)” included interest expense, capitalized interest, interest
income, and other gains and losses. Interest expense decreased
by $3 million, or 3.3 percent, primarily due to the Company’s October 2003
redemption of $100 million of senior unsecured 8 ¾% Notes originally issued in
1991. This decrease was partially offset by the Company’s September 2004
issuance of $350 million 5.25% senior unsecured notes and the
fourth quarter 2004 issuance of $112 million in floating-rate
financing.
Concurrently
with the September 2004 issuance, the Company entered into an interest-rate
swap
agreement to convert this fixed-rate debt to floating rate. See Note 9 to the
Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on the interest-rate
swap
agreement. Capitalized
interest increased $6 million, or 18.2 percent, primarily as a result of higher
2004 progress payment balances for scheduled future aircraft deliveries,
compared to 2003. Interest income decreased $3 million, or 12.5 percent,
primarily due to a decrease in average invested cash balances. Other gains
in
2003 primarily resulted from the government grant of $271 million received
pursuant to the Wartime Act. See Note 16 to the Consolidated Financial
Statements for further discussion of the grant. Other losses in 2004 primarily
include amounts recorded in accordance with SFAS 133. See
Note 9
to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on the Company’s
hedging activities.
During
2004, the Company recognized approximately $24 million of expense related to
amounts excluded from the Company's measurements of hedge effectiveness and
$13
million in expense related to the ineffectiveness of its hedges and unrealized
mark-to-market changes in the fair value of certain derivative
contracts.
INCOME
TAXES The
provision for income taxes, as a percentage of income before taxes, decreased
to
36.54 percent in 2004 from 38.35 percent in 2003. Approximately half of the
rate
reduction was
due
to lower
effective state income tax rates.
The
remainder of the decrease primarily was due to a
favorable
adjustment related to the ultimate resolution of an airline industry-wide issue
regarding the tax treatment of certain aircraft engine maintenance costs.
LIQUIDITY
AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Net
cash
provided by operating activities was $2.1 billion in 2005 compared to $1.1
billion in 2004. For the Company, operating cash inflows primarily are derived
from providing air transportation for Customers. The vast majority of tickets
are purchased prior to the day on which travel is provided and, in some cases,
several months before the anticipated travel date. Operating cash outflows
primarily are related to the recurring expenses of operating the airline. For
2005, the increase in operating cash flows primarily was due to an increase
in
“Accounts payable and accrued liabilities” and higher net income in 2005 versus
2004. There was a $1.0 billion increase in accrued liabilities, primarily
related to a $620 million increase in
counterparty deposits associated with the Company’s fuel hedging program. For
further information on the Company’s hedging program and counterparty deposits,
see Note 9
to the
Consolidated Financial Statements, and
Item 7A.
Qualitative and Quantitative Disclosures about Market Risk,
respectively.
Cash
generated in 2005 and in 2004 primarily was used to finance aircraft-related
capital expenditures and to provide working capital.
Cash
flows used in investing activities in 2005 totaled $1.1 billion compared to
$1.7
billion in 2004. Investing activities in both years primarily consisted of
payments for new 737-700 aircraft delivered to the Company and progress payments
for future aircraft deliveries. The Company purchased 33 new 737-700 aircraft
in
2005 versus the purchase of 46 new 737-700s in 2004. In addition, progress
payments for future deliveries were higher in 2004 than 2005. See Note 3 to
the
Consolidated Financial Statements. Investing activities for 2004 were also
reduced $124 million by a change in the balance of the Company’s short-term
investments, namely auction rate securities. Also, 2005 and 2004 included
payments of $6 million and $34 million, respectively, for certain ATA assets.
See Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for further information
on
the Company’s transaction with ATA.
Net
cash
provided by financing activities was $260 million in 2005, primarily from the
issuance of $300 million senior unsecured 5.125% notes in February 2005, net
of
the redemption of the Company’s $100 million senior unsecured 8% notes in March
2005. During 2005, the Company also received proceeds of $132 million from
Employee exercises of stock options under its stock plans and repurchased $55
million of its common stock. In 2004, net cash provided by financing activities
was $156 million, primarily from the issuance of $520 million in long-term
debt.
The majority of the debt issuance was the $350 million senior unsecured notes
issued in September 2004, and the
fourth quarter 2004 issuance of $112 million in floating-rate
financing.
The
largest 2004 cash outflows in financing activities were from the Company’s
repurchase of $246 million of its common stock during 2004, and the redemption
of long-term debt, primarily the $175 million Aircraft Secured Notes that came
due in November 2004. See Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for
more information on the issuance and redemption of long-term debt.
The
Company has various options available to meet its 2006 capital and operating
commitments, including cash on hand and short-term investments at December
31,
2005, of $2.5 billion, internally generated funds, and a $600 million bank
revolving line of credit. In addition, the Company will also consider various
borrowing or leasing options to maximize earnings and supplement cash
requirements. The Company believes it has access to a wide variety of financing
arrangements because of its excellent credit ratings, unencumbered assets,
modest leverage, and consistent profitability.
The
Company currently has outstanding shelf registrations for the issuance of up
to
$1.3 billion in public debt securities and pass through certificates, which
it
may utilize for aircraft financings or other purposes in the future. The Company
may issue a portion of these securities in 2006, primarily to replace debt
that
is coming due and to fund current fleet growth plans.
OFF-BALANCE
SHEET ARRANGEMENTS, CONTRACTUAL OBLIGATIONS, AND CONTINGENT LIABILITIES AND
COMMITMENTS
Southwest
has contractual obligations and commitments primarily with regard to future
purchases of aircraft, payment of debt, and lease arrangements. Along with
the
receipt of 33 new 737-700 aircraft in 2005, the Company has exercised its
remaining options for aircraft to be delivered in 2006, and some of its options
for aircraft to be delivered in 2007. As of January 2006, the Company had firm
orders for 33 737-700 aircraft in 2006, 29 in 2007, and six in 2008. The Company
also had options for seven 737-700 aircraft in 2007, 25 in 2008, and an
additional 217 purchase rights for 737-700 aircraft for the years 2007 through
2012. The Company has the option to substitute 737-600s or -800s for the -700s.
This option is applicable to aircraft ordered from the manufacturer and must
be
exercised two years prior to the contractual delivery date.
The
Company has engaged in off-balance sheet arrangements in the leasing of
aircraft. The leasing of aircraft provides flexibility to the Company
effectively as a source of financing. Although the Company is responsible for
all maintenance, insurance, and expense associated with operating the aircraft,
and retains the risk of loss for leased aircraft, it has not made any guarantees
to the lessors regarding the residual value (or market value) of the aircraft
at
the end of the lease terms.
As
shown
in Item 2., and as disclosed in Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements,
the Company operates 93 aircraft leased from third parties, of which 84 are
operating leases. As prescribed by GAAP, assets and obligations under operating
leases are not included in the Company’s Consolidated Balance Sheet. Disclosure
of the contractual obligations associated with the Company’s leased aircraft are
included below as well as in Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial
Statements.
The
following table aggregates the Company’s material expected contractual
obligations and commitments as of December 31, 2005:
Obligations
by period (in millions)
|
||||||||||||||||
2007
|
2009
|
Beyond
|
||||||||||||||
Contractual
obligations
|
2006
|
-
2008
|
-
2010
|
2010
|
Total
|
|||||||||||
Long-term
debt (1)
|
$
|
596
|
$
|
123
|
$
|
28
|
$
|
1,222
|
$
|
1,969
|
||||||
Interest
commitments (2)
|
37
|
51
|
45
|
214
|
347
|
|||||||||||
Capital
lease commitments (3)
|
16
|
32
|
31
|
12
|
91
|
|||||||||||
Operating
lease commitments
|
332
|
583
|
454
|
1,164
|
2,533
|
|||||||||||
Aircraft
purchase commitments (4)
|
740
|
538
|
-
|
-
|
1,278
|
|||||||||||
Other
purchase commitments
|
44
|
26
|
24
|
11
|
105
|
|||||||||||
Total
contractual obligations
|
$
|
1,765
|
$
|
1,353
|
$
|
582
|
$
|
2,623
|
$
|
6,323
|
||||||
(1)
Includes current maturities, but excludes amounts associated with
interest
rate swap agreements
|
||||||||||||||||
(2)
Related to fixed-rate debt
|
||||||||||||||||
(3)
Includes amounts classified as interest
|
||||||||||||||||
(4)
Firm orders from the manufacturer
|
The
Company may issue a portion of its $1.3
billion in outstanding shelf registrations as public debt securities during
2006.
There
were no outstanding borrowings under the revolving credit facility at December
31, 2005. See Note 5 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for more
information on the Company’s revolving credit facility.
In
January 2004, the Company’s Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up
to $300 million of the Company’s common stock, utilizing present and anticipated
proceeds from the exercise of Employee stock options. Repurchases were made
in
accordance with applicable securities laws in the open market or in private
transactions from time to time, depending on market conditions. This program
was
completed during first quarter 2005, resulting in the total repurchase of
approximately 20.9 million of its common shares.
In
January 2006, the Company’s Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up
to $300 million of the Company’s common stock. Repurchases will be made in
accordance with applicable securities laws in the open market or in private
transactions from time to time, depending on market conditions.
CRITICAL
ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES
The
Company’s Consolidated Financial Statements have been prepared in accordance
with United States GAAP. The Company’s significant accounting policies are
described in Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements. The preparation
of
financial statements in accordance with GAAP requires the Company’s management
to make estimates and assumptions that affect the amounts reported in the
Consolidated Financial Statements and accompanying footnotes. The Company’s
estimates and assumptions are based on historical experience and changes in
the
business environment. However, actual results may differ from estimates under
different conditions, sometimes materially. Critical accounting policies and
estimates are defined as those that are both most important to the portrayal
of
the Company’s financial condition and results and require management’s most
subjective judgments. The Company’s most critical accounting policies and
estimates are described below.
Revenue
Recognition
As
described in Note 1 to the Consolidated Financial Statements, tickets sold
for
passenger air travel are initially deferred as “Air traffic liability.”
Passenger revenue is recognized and air traffic liability is reduced when the
service is provided (i.e., when the flight takes place). “Air traffic liability”
represents tickets sold for future travel dates and estimated future refunds
and
exchanges of tickets sold for past travel dates. The balance in “Air traffic
liability” fluctuates throughout the year based on seasonal travel patterns and
fare sale activity. The Company’s “Air traffic liability” balance at December
31, 2005 was $649 million, compared to $529 million as of December 31, 2004.
Estimating
the amount of tickets that will be refunded, exchanged, or forfeited involves
some level of subjectivity and judgment. The majority of the Company’s tickets
sold are nonrefundable, which is the primary source of forfeited tickets.
According to the Company’s “Contract of Carriage”, tickets that are sold but not
flown on the travel date can be reused for another flight, up to a year from
the
date of sale, or can be refunded (if the ticket is refundable). A small
percentage of tickets (or partial tickets) expire unused. Fully refundable
tickets are rarely forfeited. “Air traffic liability” includes an estimate of
the amount of future refunds and exchanges, net of forfeitures, for all unused
tickets once the flight date has passed. These estimates are based on historical
experience over many years. The Company and members of the airline industry
have
consistently applied this accounting method to estimate revenue from forfeited
tickets at the date travel is provided. Estimated future refunds and exchanges
included in the air traffic liability account are constantly evaluated based
on
subsequent refund and exchange activity to validate the accuracy of the
Company’s estimates with respect to forfeited tickets. Holding other factors
constant, a ten-percent change in the Company’s estimate of the amount of
refunded, exchanged, or forfeited tickets for 2005 would have resulted in a
$13
million change in Passenger revenues recognized for that period.
Events
and circumstances outside of historical fare sale activity or historical
Customer travel patterns, as noted, can result in actual refunds, exchanges,
or
forfeited tickets differing significantly from estimates. The Company evaluates
its estimates within a narrow range of acceptable amounts. If actual refunds,
exchanges, or forfeiture experience results in an amount outside of this range,
estimates and assumptions are reviewed and adjustments to “Air traffic
liability” and to “Passenger revenue” are recorded, as necessary. Additional
factors that may affect estimated refunds and exchanges include, but may not
be
limited to, the Company’s refund and exchange policy, the mix of refundable and
nonrefundable fares, and promotional fare activity. The Company’s estimation
techniques have been consistently applied from year to year; however, as with
any estimates, actual refund, exchange, and forfeiture activity may vary from
estimated amounts. No material adjustments were recorded for years 2003, 2004,
or 2005.
The
Company believes it is unlikely that materially different estimates for future
refunds, exchanges, and forfeited tickets would be reported based on other
reasonable assumptions or conditions suggested by actual historical experience
and other data available at the time estimates were made.
Accounting
for Long-Lived Assets
As
of
December 31, 2005, the Company had approximately $12.5 billion (at cost) of
long-lived assets, including $10.6 billion (at cost) in flight equipment and
related assets. Flight equipment primarily relates to the 361 Boeing 737
aircraft in the Company’s fleet at December 31, 2005, which are either owned or
on capital lease. The remaining 84 Boeing 737 aircraft in the Company’s fleet at
December 31, 2005, are on operating lease. In accounting for long-lived assets,
the Company must make estimates about the expected useful lives of the assets,
the expected residual values of the assets, and the potential for impairment
based on the fair value of the assets and the cash flows they generate.
The
following table shows a breakdown of the Company’s long-lived asset groups along
with information about estimated useful lives and residual values of these
groups:
Estimated
|
Estimated
|
||||||
Useful
Life
|
Residual
value
|
||||||
Aircraft
and engines
|
23
to 25 years
|
15%
|
|
||||
Aircraft
parts
|
Fleet
life
|
4%
|
|
||||
Ground
property and equipment
|
5
to 30 years
|
0%-10%
|
|
||||
Leasehold
improvements
|
5
years or lease term
|
0%
|
|
In
estimating the lives and expected residual values of its aircraft, the Company
primarily has relied upon actual experience with the same or similar aircraft
types and recommendations from Boeing, the manufacturer of the Company’s
aircraft. Aircraft estimated useful lives are based on the number of “cycles”
flown (one take-off and landing). The Company has made a conversion of cycles
into years based on both its historical and anticipated future utilization
of
the aircraft. Subsequent revisions to these estimates, which can be significant,
could be caused by changes to the Company’s maintenance program, changes in
utilization of the aircraft (actual cycles during a given period of time),
governmental regulations on aging aircraft, and changing market prices of new
and used aircraft of the same or similar types. The Company evaluates its
estimates and assumptions each reporting period and, when warranted, adjusts
these estimates and assumptions. Generally, these adjustments are accounted
for
on a prospective basis through depreciation and amortization expense, as
required by GAAP.
When
appropriate, the Company evaluates its long-lived assets for impairment. Factors
that would indicate potential impairment may include, but are not limited to,
significant decreases in the market value of the long-lived asset(s), a
significant change in the long-lived asset’s physical condition, and operating
or cash flow losses associated with the use of the long-lived asset. While
the
airline industry as a whole has experienced many of these indicators, Southwest
has continued to operate all of its aircraft, generate positive cash flow,
and
produce profits. Consequently, the Company has not identified any impairments
related to its existing aircraft fleet. The Company will continue to monitor
its
long-lived assets and the airline operating environment.
The
Company believes it unlikely that materially different estimates for expected
lives, expected residual values, and impairment evaluations would be made or
reported based on other reasonable assumptions or conditions suggested by actual
historical experience and other data available at the time estimates were
made.
Financial
Derivative Instruments
The
Company utilizes financial derivative instruments primarily to manage its risk
associated with changing jet fuel prices, and accounts for them under Statement
of Financial Accounting Standards No. 133, “Accounting for Derivative
Instruments and Hedging Activities”, as amended (SFAS 133). See “Qualitative and
Quantitative Disclosures about Market Risk” for more information on these risk
management activities and see Note 9 to the Consolidated Financial Statements
for more information on SFAS 133, the Company’s fuel hedging program, and
financial derivative instruments.
SFAS
133
requires that all derivatives be marked to market (fair value) and recorded
on
the Consolidated Balance Sheet. At December 31, 2005, the Company was a party
to
over 400 financial derivative instruments, related to fuel hedging, for year
2006 and beyond. The fair value of the Company’s fuel hedging financial
derivative instruments recorded on the Company’s Consolidated Balance Sheet as
of December 31, 2005, was $1.7 billion, compared to $796 million at December
31,
2004. The large increase in fair value primarily was due to the dramatic
increase in energy prices throughout 2005, and the Company’s addition of
derivative instruments to increase its hedge positions in future years. Changes
in the fair values of these instruments can vary dramatically, as was evident
during 2005, based on changes in the underlying commodity prices. Market price
changes can be driven by factors such as supply and demand, inventory levels,
weather events, refinery capacity, political agendas, and general economic
conditions, among other items. The financial derivative instruments utilized
by
the Company primarily are a combination of collars, purchased call options,
and
fixed price swap agreements. The Company does not purchase or hold any
derivative instruments for trading purposes.
The
Company enters into financial derivative instruments with third party
institutions in “over-the-counter” markets. Since the majority of the Company’s
financial derivative instruments are not traded on a market exchange, the
Company estimates their fair values. Depending on the type of instrument, the
values are determined by the use of present value methods or standard option
value models with assumptions about commodity prices based on those observed
in
underlying markets. Also, since there is not a reliable forward market for
jet
fuel, the Company must estimate the future prices of jet fuel in order to
measure the effectiveness of the hedging instruments in offsetting changes
to
those prices, as required by SFAS 133. Forward jet fuel prices are estimated
through the observation of similar commodity futures prices (such as crude
oil,
heating oil, and unleaded gasoline) and adjusted based on historical variations
to those like commodities.
Fair
values for financial derivative instruments and forward jet fuel prices are
both
estimated prior to the time that the financial derivative instruments settle,
and the time that jet fuel is purchased and consumed, respectively. However,
once settlement of the financial derivative instruments occurs and the hedged
jet fuel is purchased and consumed, all values and prices are known and are
recognized in the financial statements. Based on these actual results once
all
values and prices become known, the Company’s estimates have proved to be
materially accurate.
Estimating
the fair value of these fuel hedging derivatives and forward prices for jet
fuel
will also result in changes in their values from period to period and thus
determine how they are accounted for under SFAS 133. To the extent that the
total change in the estimated fair value of a fuel hedging instrument differs
from the change in the estimated price of the associated jet fuel to be
purchased, both on a cumulative and a period-to-period basis, ineffectiveness
of
the fuel hedge can result, as defined by SFAS 133. This could result in the
immediate recording of noncash charges or income, even though the derivative
instrument may not expire until a future period. Likewise, if a cash flow hedge
ceases to qualify for hedge accounting, those periodic changes in the fair
value
of derivative instruments are recorded to “Other gains and losses” in the income
statement in the period of the change.
Ineffectiveness
is inherent in hedging jet fuel with derivative positions based in other crude
oil-related commodities, especially considering the recent volatility in the
prices of refined products. In addition, given the magnitude of the Company’s
fuel hedge portfolio total market value, ineffectiveness can be highly material
to financial results. Due to the volatility in markets for crude oil and related
products, the Company is unable to predict the amount of ineffectiveness each
period, including the loss of hedge accounting, which could be determined on
a
derivative by derivative basis or in the aggregate. This may result in increased
volatility in the Company’s results. Prior to 2005, the Company had not
experienced significant ineffectiveness in its fuel hedges accounted for under
SFAS 133, in relation to the fair value of the underlying financial derivative
instruments. The significant increase in the amount of hedge ineffectiveness
and
unrealized gains on derivative contracts settling in future periods recorded
during 2005 was due to a number of factors. These factors included: the recent
significant increase in energy prices, the number of derivative positions the
Company holds, significant weather events that have affected refinery capacity
and the production of refined products, and the volatility of the different
types of products the Company uses in hedging. The number of instances in which
the Company has discontinued hedge accounting for specific hedges has increased
recently, primarily due to the foregoing reasons. In these cases, the Company
has determined that the hedges will not regain effectiveness in the time period
remaining until settlement and therefore must discontinue special hedge
accounting, as defined by SFAS 133. When this happens, any changes in fair
value
of the derivative instruments are marked to market through earnings in the
period of change. As the fair value of the Company’s hedge positions increases
in amount, there is a higher degree of probability that there will be continued
and correspondingly higher variability recorded in the income statement and
that
the amount of hedge ineffectiveness and unrealized gains or losses recorded
in
future periods will be material. This is primarily due to the fact that small
differences in the correlation of crude oil-related products are leveraged
over
large dollar volumes.
SFAS
133
is a complex accounting standard with stringent requirements, including the
documentation of a Company hedging strategy, statistical analysis to qualify
a
commodity for hedge accounting both on a historical and a prospective basis,
and
strict contemporaneous documentation that is required at the time each hedge
is
executed by the Company. As required by SFAS 133, the Company assesses the
effectiveness of each of its individual hedges on a quarterly basis. The Company
also examines the effectiveness of its entire hedging program on a quarterly
basis utilizing statistical analysis. This analysis involves utilizing
regression and other statistical analyses that compare changes in the price
of
jet fuel to changes in the prices of the commodities used for hedging purposes
(crude oil, heating oil, and unleaded gasoline).
The
Company continually looks for better and more accurate methodologies in
forecasting future cash flows relating to its jet fuel hedging program. These
estimates are used in the measurement of effectiveness for the Company’s fuel
hedges, as required by SFAS 133. Any changes to the Company’s methodology for
estimating future cash flows (i.e., jet fuel prices) will be applied
prospectively, in accordance with SFAS 133. While the Company would expect
that
a change in the methodology for estimating future cash flows would result in
more effective hedges over the long-term, such a change could result in more
ineffectiveness, as defined, in the short-term, due to the prospective nature
of
enacting the change.
The
Company also utilizes financial derivative instruments in the form of interest
rate swap agreements. The
primary objective for the Company’s use of interest rate hedges is to reduce the
volatility of net interest income by better matching the repricing of its assets
and liabilities. Concurrently, the Company's interest rate hedges are also
intended to take advantage of market conditions in which short-term rates are
significantly lower than the fixed longer term rates on the Company's long-term
debt. During
2003, the Company entered into interest rate swap agreements relating to its
$385 million 6.5% senior unsecured notes due 2012, and $375 million 5.496%
Class
A-2 pass-through certificates due 2006. The
floating rate paid under each agreement sets in arrears. Under
the
first agreement, the Company pays the London InterBank Offered Rate (LIBOR)
plus
a margin every six months and receives 6.5% every six months on a notional
amount of $385 million until 2012. The
average floating rate paid under this agreement during 2005 is estimated to
be
6.46 percent based on actual and forward rates at December 31, 2005.
Under
the
second agreement, the Company pays LIBOR plus a margin every six months and
receives 5.496% every six months on a notional amount of $375 million until
November 1, 2006. Based
on
actual and forward rates at December 31, 2005, the average floating rate paid
under this agreement during 2005 is estimated to be 6.73 percent.
During
2004, the Company also entered into an interest rate swap agreement relating
to
its $350 million 5.25% senior unsecured notes due 2014. Under this agreement,
the Company pays LIBOR plus a margin every six months and receives 5.25% every
six months on a notional amount of $350 million until 2014. The
floating rate is set in advance. The average floating rate paid under this
agreement during 2005 was 3.82 percent.
The
Company’s interest rate swap agreements qualify as fair value hedges, as defined
by SFAS 133. In addition, these interest rate swap agreements qualify for the
“shortcut” method of accounting for hedges, as defined by SFAS 133. Under the
“shortcut” method, the hedges are assumed to be perfectly effective, and, thus,
there is no ineffectiveness to be recorded in earnings. The fair value of the
interest rate swap agreements, which are adjusted regularly, are recorded in
the
Consolidated Balance Sheet, as necessary, with a corresponding adjustment to
the
carrying value of the long-term debt. The fair value of the interest rate swap
agreements, excluding accrued interest, at December 31, 2005, was a liability
of
approximately $31 million. The comparable fair value of these same agreements
at
December 31, 2004, was a liability of $16 million. The long-term portion of
these amounts are recorded in “Other deferred liabilities” in the Consolidated
Balance Sheet for each respective year and the current portion is reflected
in
“Accrued liabilities.” In accordance with fair value hedging, the offsetting
entry is an adjustment to decrease the carrying value of long-term debt. See
Note 9 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
The
Company believes it is unlikely that materially different estimates for the
fair
value of financial derivative instruments, and forward jet fuel prices, would
be
made or reported based on other reasonable assumptions or conditions suggested
by actual historical experience and other data available at the time estimates
were made.
Share-Based
Compensation
The
Company has share-based compensation plans covering the majority of its Employee
groups, including plans adopted via collective bargaining, a plan covering
the
Company's Board of Directors, and plans related
to employment contracts with one Executive Officer of the Company. Effective
January 1, 2006, the Company adopted the fair value recognition provisions
of
SFAS No. 123R, “Share-Based Payment” using the modified retrospective transition
method. Among other items, SFAS 123R eliminates the use of APB 25 and the
intrinsic value method of accounting, and requires companies to recognize the
cost of Employee services received in exchange for awards of equity instruments,
based on the grant date fair value of those awards, in the financial statements.
See
Notes
1 and 12 to the Consolidated Financial Statements.
Under
the
modified retrospective method, compensation cost is recognized in the financial
statements beginning with the effective date, based on the requirements of
SFAS
123R for all share-based payments granted after that date, and based on the
requirements of SFAS 123 for all unvested awards granted prior to the effective
date of SFAS 123R. In addition, results for prior periods have been
retroactively adjusted utilizing the pro forma disclosures in those prior
financial statements, except as noted. As part of this revision, the Company
recorded cumulative share-based compensation expense of $409 million for the
period 1995-2005, resulting in a reduction to Retained earnings in the
accompanying Consolidated Balance Sheet as of December 31, 2005. This
adjustment, along with the creation of a net Deferred income tax asset in the
amount of $130 million, resulted in an offsetting increase to Capital in excess
of par value in the amount of $539 million in the accompanying Consolidated
Balance Sheet as of December 31, 2005. The Deferred tax asset represents the
portion of the cumulative expense related to stock options that will result
in a
future tax deduction.
The
Consolidated Statement of Income for 2005, 2004, and 2003 reflects share-based
compensation cost of $80 million, $135 million, and $107 million, respectively.
The total tax benefit recognized from share-based compensation arrangements
for
2005, 2004, and 2003 was $25 million, $46 million, and $36 million,
respectively. For 2005, 2004, and 2003, the Company’s net earnings were reduced
by $55 million, $89 million, and $71 million, respectively, compared to the
previous accounting method under APB 25. For 2005, 2004, and 2003, net income
per share, basic was reduced by $.08, $.12, and $.09, respectively, compared
to
the previous accounting under APB 25. For 2005, 2004, and 2003, net income
per
share, diluted was reduced by $.06, $.10, and $.08, respectively, compared
to
the previous accounting under APB 25.
The
Company estimates the fair value of stock option awards on the date of grant
utilizing a modified Black-Scholes option pricing model. The Black-Scholes
option valuation model was developed for use in estimating the fair value of
short-term traded options that have no vesting restrictions and are fully
transferable. However, certain assumptions used in the Black-Scholes model,
such
as expected term and expected stock price volatility, can be adjusted to
incorporate the unique characteristics of the Company’s stock option awards.
Prior to 2005, the Company relied exclusively on historical volatility as an
input for determining the estimated fair value of stock options. For 2005,
the
Company relied on observations of both historical volatility trends as well
as
implied future volatility observations as determined by independent third
parties. For 2005 stock option grants, the Company utilized expected volatility
based on the expected life of the option, but within a range of 25% to 27%.
In
determining the expected life of the option grants, the Company has observed
the
actual terms of prior grants with similar characteristics, the actual vesting
schedule of the grant, and assessed the expected risk tolerance of different
optionee groups.
Other
assumptions required for estimating fair value with the Black-Scholes model
are
the expected risk-free interest rate and expected dividend yield of the
Company’s stock. The risk-free interest rates used, which were actual U.S.
Treasury zero-coupon rates for bonds matching the expected term of the option
as
of the option grant date, ranged from 3.37% to
4.47%
for 2005, 2.16% to 4.62% for 2004, and 1.82% to 4.10% for 2003. The expected
dividend yield of the Company’s common stock over the expected term of the
option on the date of grant was estimated based on the Company’s current
dividend yield, and adjusted for anticipated future changes.
The
fair
value of options granted under the fixed option plans during 2005 ranged from
$2.90 to $6.79, with a weighted-average fair value of $4.49. The fair value
of
options granted under the fixed option plans during 2004 ranged from $3.45
to
$7.83, with a weighted-average fair value of $4.49. The fair value of options
granted under the fixed option plans during 2003 ranged from $3.33 to $8.17,
with a weighted-average fair value of $4.28
Vesting
terms for the Company’s stock option plans differ based on the type of grant
made and the group to which the options are granted. For grants made to
Employees under collective bargaining plans, vesting has ranged in length from
immediate vesting to vesting periods in accordance with the period covered
by
the respective collective bargaining agreement. For “Other Employee Plans”,
options vest
and
become fully exercisable over three, five, or ten years of continued employment,
depending upon the grant type. For grants in any of the Company’s plans that are
subject to graded vesting over a service period, we recognize expense on a
straight-line basis over the requisite service period for the entire award.
None
of the Company’s grants include performance-based or market-based vesting
conditions, as defined.
As
of
December 31, 2005, the Company has $148 million in remaining unrecognized
compensation cost related to past grants of stock options, which is expected
to
be recognized over a weighted-average period of 2.0 years. The total recognition
period for the remaining unrecognized compensation cost is approximately ten
years; however, the majority of this cost will be recognized over the next
two
years, in accordance with vesting provisions.
The
Company believes it is unlikely that materially different estimates for the
assumptions used in estimating the fair value of stock options granted would
be
made based on the conditions suggested by actual historical experience and
other
data available at the time estimates were made.
FORWARD-LOOKING
STATEMENTS
Some
statements in this Form 10-K (or otherwise made by the Company or on the
Company’s behalf from time to time in other reports, filings with the Securities
and Exchange Commission, news releases, conferences, World Wide Web postings
or
otherwise) which are not historical facts, may be “forward-looking statements”
within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and
the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements
include statements about Southwest’s estimates, expectations, beliefs,
intentions or strategies for the future, and the assumptions underlying these
forward-looking statements. Southwest uses the words "anticipates," "believes,"
"estimates," "expects," "intends," "forecasts," "may," "will," "should," and
similar expressions to identify these forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause
actual results to differ materially from historical experience or the Company’s
present expectations. Factors that could cause these differences include, but
are not limited to, those set forth under Item 1A—Risk Factors.
Caution
should be taken not to place undue reliance on the Company’s forward-looking
statements, which represent the Company’s views only as of the date this report
is filed. The Company undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise
any
forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future
events, or otherwise.
ITEM
7A. QUALITATIVE AND QUANTITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET
RISK
Southwest
has interest rate risk in its floating rate debt obligations and interest rate
swaps, and has commodity price risk in jet fuel required to operate its aircraft
fleet. The Company purchases jet fuel at prevailing market prices, but seeks
to
manage market risk through execution of a documented hedging strategy. Southwest
has market sensitive instruments in the form of fixed rate debt instruments
and
financial derivative instruments used to hedge its exposure to jet fuel price
increases. The Company also operates 93 aircraft under operating and capital
leases. However, leases are not considered market sensitive financial
instruments and, therefore, are not included in the interest rate sensitivity
analysis below. Commitments related to leases are disclosed in Note 7 to the
Consolidated Financial Statements. The Company does not purchase or hold any
derivative financial instruments for trading purposes. See Note 9 to the
Consolidated Financial Statements for information on the Company's accounting
for its hedging program and for further details on the Company's financial
derivative instruments.
Fuel
hedging.
The
Company utilizes its fuel hedges, on both a short-term and a long-term basis,
as
a form of insurance against significant increases in fuel prices. The Company
believes there is significant risk in not hedging against the possibility of
such fuel price increases. The Company expects to consume approximately 1.4
billion gallons of jet fuel in 2006. Based on this usage, a change in jet fuel
prices of just one cent per gallon would impact the Company’s “Fuel and oil
expense” by approximately $14 million per year, excluding any impact of the
Company’s fuel hedges.
The
fair
values of outstanding financial derivative instruments related to the Company’s
jet fuel market price risk at December 31, 2005, were net assets of $1.7
billion. The current portion of these financial derivative instruments, or
$640
million, is classified as “Fuel hedge contracts” in the Consolidated Balance
Sheet. The long-term portion of these financial derivative instruments, or
$1.0
billion, is included in “Other assets.” The fair values of the derivative
instruments, depending on the type of instrument, were determined by use of
present value methods or standard option value models with assumptions about
commodity prices based on those observed in underlying markets. An immediate
ten-percent increase or decrease in underlying fuel-related commodity prices
from the December 31, 2005, prices would correspondingly change the fair value
of the commodity derivative instruments in place by approximately $420 million.
Changes in the related commodity derivative instrument cash flows may change
by
more or less than this amount based upon further fluctuations in futures prices
as well as related income tax effects. This sensitivity analysis uses industry
standard valuation models and holds all inputs constant at December 31, 2005,
levels, except underlying futures prices.
Outstanding
financial derivative instruments expose the Company to credit loss in the event
of nonperformance by the counterparties to the agreements. However, the Company
does not expect any of the counterparties to fail to meet their obligations.
The
credit exposure related to these financial instruments is represented by the
fair value of contracts with a positive fair value at the reporting date. To
manage credit risk, the Company selects and will periodically review
counterparties based on credit ratings, limits its exposure to a single
counterparty, and monitors the market position of the program and its relative
market position with each counterparty. At December 31, 2005, the Company had
agreements with seven counterparties containing early termination rights and/or
bilateral collateral provisions whereby security is required if market risk
exposure exceeds a specified threshold amount or credit ratings fall below
certain levels. At December 31, 2005, the Company held $950 million in cash
collateral deposits under these bilateral collateral provisions. These
collateral deposits serve to decrease, but not totally eliminate, the credit
risk associated with the Company’s hedging program. The deposits are included in
“Accrued liabilities” on the Consolidated Balance Sheet. See also Note 9 to the
Consolidated Financial Statements.
Financial
market risk.
The vast
majority of the Company’s assets are aircraft, which are long-lived. The
Company’s strategy is to maintain a conservative balance sheet and grow capacity
steadily and profitably. While the Company uses financial leverage, it has
maintained a strong balance sheet and an "A" credit rating on its senior
unsecured fixed-rate debt with Standard & Poor’s and Fitch ratings agencies,
and a "Baa1" credit rating with Moody's rating agency. The Company's 1999 and
2004 French Credit Agreements do not give rise to significant fair value risk
but do give rise to interest rate risk because these borrowings are
floating-rate debt. In addition, as disclosed in Note 9 to the Consolidated
Financial Statements, the Company has converted certain of its long-term debt
to
floating rate debt by entering into interest rate swap agreements. This includes
the Company’s $385 million 6.5% senior unsecured notes due 2012, the $375
million 5.496% Class A-2 pass-through certificates due 2006, and the $350
million 5.25% senior unsecured notes due 2014. Although there is interest rate
risk associated with these floating rate borrowings, the risk for the 1999
and
2004 French Credit Agreements is somewhat mitigated by the fact that the Company
may prepay this debt under certain conditions. See Notes 5 and 6 to the
Consolidated Financial Statements for more information on the material terms
of
the Company’s short-term and long-term debt.
Excluding
the $385 million 6.5% senior unsecured notes, and the $350 million 5.25% senior
unsecured notes that were converted to a floating rate as previously noted,
the
Company had outstanding senior unsecured notes totaling $500 million at December
31, 2005. These senior unsecured notes currently have a weighted-average
maturity of 11.3 years at fixed rates averaging 6.125 percent at December 31,
2005, which is comparable to average rates prevailing for similar debt
instruments over the last ten years. The fixed-rate portion of the Company’s
pass-through certificates consists of its Class A certificates and Class B
certificates, which totaled $154 million at December 31, 2005. These Class
A and
Class B certificates had fixed rates averaging 5.7 percent at December 31,
2005
and mature during 2006. The carrying value of the Company’s floating rate debt
totaled $1.2 billion, and this debt had a weighted-average maturity of 6.0
years
at floating rates averaging 6.27 percent at December 31, 2005. In total, the
Company's fixed rate debt and floating rate debt represented 6.2 percent and
11.6 percent, respectively, of total noncurrent assets at December 31,
2005.
The
Company also has some risk associated with changing interest rates due to the
short-term nature of its invested cash, which totaled $2.3 billion, and
short-term investments, which totaled $251 million, at December 31, 2005. The
Company invests available cash in certificates of deposit, highly rated money
market instruments, investment grade commercial paper, auction rate securities,
and other highly rated financial instruments. Because of the short-term nature
of these investments, the returns earned parallel closely with short-term
floating interest rates. The Company has not undertaken any additional actions
to cover interest rate market risk and is not a party to any other material
market interest rate risk management activities.
A
hypothetical ten percent change in market interest rates as of December 31,
2005, would not have a material affect on the fair value of the Company's fixed
rate debt instruments. See Note 9 to the Consolidated Financial Statements
for
further information on the fair value of the Company's financial instruments.
A
change in market interest rates could, however, have a corresponding effect
on
the Company's earnings and cash flows associated with its floating rate debt,
invested cash, and short-term investments because of the floating-rate nature
of
these items. Assuming floating market rates in effect as of December 31, 2005,
were held constant throughout a 12-month period, a hypothetical ten percent
change in those rates would correspondingly change the Company's net earnings
and cash flows associated with these items by less than $2 million. Utilizing
these assumptions and considering the Company’s cash balance, short-term
investments, and floating-rate debt outstanding at December 31, 2005, an
increase in rates would have a net positive effect on the Company’s earnings and
cash flows, while a decrease in rates would have a net negative effect on the
Company’s earnings and cash flows. However, a ten percent change in market rates
would not impact the Company's earnings or cash flow associated with the
Company's publicly traded fixed-rate debt.
The
Company is also subject to various financial covenants included in its credit
card transaction processing agreement, the revolving credit facility, and
outstanding debt agreements. Covenants include the maintenance of minimum credit
ratings. For the revolving credit facility, the Company shall also maintain,
at
all times, a Coverage Ratio, as defined in the agreement, of not less than
1.25
to 1.0. The
Company met or exceeded the minimum standards set forth in these agreements
as
of December 31, 2005. However, if conditions change and the Company fails to
meet the minimum standards set forth in the agreements, it could reduce the
availability of cash under the agreements or increase the costs to keep these
agreements intact as written.